نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
عنوان مقاله English
نویسندگان English
Objective: This research aims to conduct a study on future of Metaverse and examine its implications for Iran on the horizon of 2031. As future of cyberspace, the metaverse has the potential to create interactions, games, work, and shopping in a digital space. This study seeks to analyze and study the possible impacts of this emerging technology on Iranian society.
Methodology: Multiple qualitative methods were employed in this research. Initially, environmental scanning and review of diverse sources, including academic articles, journalistic pieces, news reports, and research from institutions, were conducted to select 52 relevant contents. Subsequently, using thematic analysis, 513 codes were extracted, and 40 themes were identified for the development of future scenarios. Finally, employing the Manova School, model four distinct scenarios for the metaverse's future were formulated.
Results: Through the analysis of relevant contents, 40 themes were identified. Applying the Manova School models resulted in the creation of four scenarios: "Convergence of Two Worlds," "Struggle for Survival," "Shattered Dreams," and "Unrestrained Ascension," each suggesting different potential futures for the metaverse. Subsequently, based on the analysis of desirability and probability, expert opinions in the field were considered to more precisely determine the implications of each scenario for Iran.
Conclusion: This research is based on the identification and analysis of four scenarios for the future of the metaverse, each with specific implications for Iran. The most likely scenarios for Iran were “struggle for survival” and “linking two worlds,” and the most desirable scenario was “linking two worlds.” These results can help policymakers and decision-makers better prepare to face the challenges and opportunities of the future of the metaverse.
کلیدواژهها English